2024 sonlarında Suriye’deki dengenin tamamen tersine çevrilmesi tipik bir Yalta operasyonudur. 1949 yılında ABD, İngiltere ve Rusya, Yalta görüşmeleri neticesinde Rusya toprağı olan Doğu Türkistan, dengenin idame ettirilmesi maksadıyla İngiltere’nin arzusu üzerine Çin’e devredilmişti. Doğu Türkistan artık Çin toprağı olmuştu, çünkü Rusya, Doğu Türkistan üzerinden Hindistan’a, Hint Okyanusuna inerek bu dengenin bozulmasına neden olabilirdi.
Benzer bir gelişme 2024 Aralık ayında gerçekleşmiş ve söz konusu üçlünün aralarındaki görüşmeler neticesinde aynı senaryo tekrarlanmış ve bu kez de Rusya ve İran, Suriye’den çekilirken, Suriye’de rejim değişikliğine gidilmiştir.
Gözümüze çarpan ise İran’ın en yakın müttefiği olan Çin’in Akdeniz havzası coğrafyasından bu şekilde uzaklaştırılması olmuştur. Bu operasyonda Yalta üçlüsü ortaklaşa hareket etmişlerdir.
Söz konusu sürecin Rusya-Çin ve Rusya-İran ilişkilerine ne şekilde yansıyacağına, kısa bir dönem sonra şahit olacağız.
Aynı Yalta konferansı kararları gelişmelerinden olmak üzere 1948 yılında Filistin toprakları üzerinde İsrail devleti kurulmuştur 21. yüzyılın ilk çeyreğinin sonlarında hızlanan gelişmeler neticesinde ABD’nin Çin ile olan hesaplaşmasının ilk aşamasında, Çin’in müttefiği İran’ın parçalanma maksatlı olarak hedef alınacağını ve 2025 yılında hedef tahtasına konulacağını açıklıkla tahmin edebiliriz. Akdeniz havzasında hegemonik düzeni pekiştirmeye çalışan Amerika’nın nihai hedefi ise Çin ile Pasifik Okyanusu’nda hesaplaşmak tarzında gerçekleşecektir.
Burada gözden kaçırılmaması gereken bir aktör ise ülkemiz Türkiye’dir ve İran gibi Türkiye de hedef tahtasında olan bir ülkedir. Ülkemiz, Akdeniz havzasında ABD, Avrupa Birliği ve İngiltere üçlüsü tarafından garnizon devletler olan Yunanistan ve İsrail üzerinden çevrelenmiş durumdadır.
Karadeniz havzasında söz konusu üçlü tarafından sıkıştırılan Rusya ise böyle bir konjonktürde, Türkiye’nin doğal müttefiki olarak gözükmektedir.
Bakalım, öngörülemezliğini olaylar karşısında defalarca ispatlamış olan Türkiye’nin, mevcut durumda ABD-İngiltere yörüngesinde gözüken konumu, 21. yüzyılın ilk çeyreğinin son yılında nasıl seyir izleyecektir.
Sürprizler bizi beklemekte midir, Yalta yalpalar mı, hep birlikte göreceğiz.
İngiliz-Türk Nakşipolitik Dışişleri
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